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The warning: Donald Trump victory threatens Swedish export

Sweden's export to the USA can decrease by 16 percent if the USA introduces the tariffs against China and the rest of the world that presidential candidate Donald Trump talks about in his election campaign.

» Published: 10 October 2024

The warning: Donald Trump victory threatens Swedish export
Photo: Alex Brandon AP/TT

The warning comes from the National Board of Trade in a new analysis.

The automotive industry is particularly vulnerable. It accounts for nearly a third of Swedish exports to the USA, writes the Swedish trade authority in a press release. But pharmaceutical exports are also expected to take a severe hit.

The calculation has been made in a simulation using a model tool called Metro.

China's exports to the USA are expected to decrease by 66 percent, according to the National Board of Trade.

"The country that would be hardest hit is the USA itself, where imports and exports are expected to decrease by 10 and 14 percent, respectively," adds the authority.

The National Board of Trade's analysis also shows that the tariffs Trump wants to introduce would drive up costs for both companies and consumers and create global inflation. They also risk affecting global trade flows and hindering climate transition.

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By TTThis article has been altered and translated by Sweden Herald

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