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Polling Institute: 99 Percent Certain Labour Will Win

Labour will most likely take over power in the United Kingdom after Thursday's election. The polling institute Survation estimates the chance of a shift in power to 99 percent.

» Updated: 16 July 2024, 15:44

» Published: 03 July 2024

Polling Institute: 99 Percent Certain Labour Will Win
Photo: Stefan Rousseau/AP/TT

Likely, Labour will take over power in the United Kingdom after Thursday's election.

The polling institute Survation calculates the chance of a shift in power to 99 percent.

After 14 years with the conservative Tory party at the helm, Labour appears to win 484 of the House of Commons' 650 seats, according to Survation. The Tories would have to settle for 64 seats and compete with the Liberal Democrats to become the largest opposition party.

A parallel survey by Yougov shows that the Tories are heading for an even worse election in Wales than they did in 1997, when they didn't get a single Welsh mandate.

The threat to a "supermajority" for Labour is the Tories' warnings about such and that voters won't vote when the election is already seen as decided.

Considering that our country is quite rundown right now and many things don't work, we have a tough job ahead of us, and to get it done, we need a clear mandate from the people, says Labour leader and likely next Prime Minister Keir Starmer, according to The Guardian.

Survation's measurement is based on over 34,500 interviews with eligible British voters.

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By TTThis article has been altered and translated by Sweden Herald

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