Polling Institute: 99 Percent Certain Labour Will Win

Labour will most likely take over power in the United Kingdom after Thursday's election. The polling institute Survation estimates the chance of a shift in power to 99 percent.

» Updated: July 16 2024

» Published: July 03 2024

Polling Institute: 99 Percent Certain Labour Will Win
Photo: Stefan Rousseau/AP/TT

Share this article

Likely, Labour will take over power in the United Kingdom after Thursday's election.

The polling institute Survation calculates the chance of a shift in power to 99 percent.

After 14 years with the conservative Tory party at the helm, Labour appears to win 484 of the House of Commons' 650 seats, according to Survation. The Tories would have to settle for 64 seats and compete with the Liberal Democrats to become the largest opposition party.

A parallel survey by Yougov shows that the Tories are heading for an even worse election in Wales than they did in 1997, when they didn't get a single Welsh mandate.

The threat to a "supermajority" for Labour is the Tories' warnings about such and that voters won't vote when the election is already seen as decided.

Considering that our country is quite rundown right now and many things don't work, we have a tough job ahead of us, and to get it done, we need a clear mandate from the people, says Labour leader and likely next Prime Minister Keir Starmer, according to The Guardian.

Survation's measurement is based on over 34,500 interviews with eligible British voters.

Tags

Author

TTT
By TTEnglish edition by Sweden Herald, adapted for local and international readers

More news

Gaza City Evacuation Plan Deemed Unrealistic by Red Cross Chief
2 MIN READ

Gaza City Evacuation Plan Deemed Unrealistic by Red Cross Chief

Ukrainian Politician Andrij Parubij Shot Dead in Lviv
1 MIN READ

Ukrainian Politician Andrij Parubij Shot Dead in Lviv

Hunger Crisis in Gaza: Malnutrition Claims More Lives
1 MIN READ

Hunger Crisis in Gaza: Malnutrition Claims More Lives

Car Drives into Crowd in Évreux, France: One Dead, Five Injured
1 MIN READ

Car Drives into Crowd in Évreux, France: One Dead, Five Injured

EU Faces Pressure to Allocate Frozen Russian Assets to Ukraine
1 MIN READ

EU Faces Pressure to Allocate Frozen Russian Assets to Ukraine

Texas Approves Bill Allowing Lawsuits Over Abortion Pill Distribution
1 MIN READ

Texas Approves Bill Allowing Lawsuits Over Abortion Pill Distribution

Colombian Politician Miguel Uribe Londoño Runs for President After Son's Tragic Death
2 MIN READ

Colombian Politician Miguel Uribe Londoño Runs for President After Son's Tragic Death

Landslide Blocks E6 in Norway; One Person Missing and Feared Dead
3 MIN READ

Landslide Blocks E6 in Norway; One Person Missing and Feared Dead

Court Blocks Trump's Expanded Fast-Track Deportation Plan
2 MIN READ

Court Blocks Trump's Expanded Fast-Track Deportation Plan

EU Remains Divided on Sanctions Against Israel Over Gaza Conflict
3 MIN READ

EU Remains Divided on Sanctions Against Israel Over Gaza Conflict

White House Efforts Ongoing for Putin-Zelensky Meeting
1 MIN READ

White House Efforts Ongoing for Putin-Zelensky Meeting

Trump's Vision to Transform Washington DC: Safety and Beautification Plans
3 MIN READ

Trump's Vision to Transform Washington DC: Safety and Beautification Plans

Ukraine Hit by Massive Overnight Attacks; Several Injured
1 MIN READ

Ukraine Hit by Massive Overnight Attacks; Several Injured

Missouri Governor Seeks to Redraw Electoral Districts for GOP Gains
1 MIN READ

Missouri Governor Seeks to Redraw Electoral Districts for GOP Gains

Italian Website Sharing Sexist Images of Politicians Shut Down
1 MIN READ

Italian Website Sharing Sexist Images of Politicians Shut Down

US Denies Visa for Palestinian President Abbas Ahead of UN Meeting
2 MIN READ

US Denies Visa for Palestinian President Abbas Ahead of UN Meeting

France and Germany Boost Ukraine Air Defense Amid Russian Attacks
2 MIN READ

France and Germany Boost Ukraine Air Defense Amid Russian Attacks

Turkey Closes Airspace to Israel Amid Gaza Conflict
1 MIN READ

Turkey Closes Airspace to Israel Amid Gaza Conflict

Trump Ends Kamala Harris' Extended Bodyguard Protection
1 MIN READ

Trump Ends Kamala Harris' Extended Bodyguard Protection

69 Dead as Migrant Boat Capsizes Off Mauritania Coast
1 MIN READ

69 Dead as Migrant Boat Capsizes Off Mauritania Coast