After Örebro Tragedy: We Need to Adjust the Radar

To prevent school shootings in the future, society needs to get better at reading the signals that people send out. There is much to learn from countries like the USA, researchers believe. It's about piecing together many small things in someone's behavior, says Lisa Kaati, who researches threat and risk assessments.

» Published: February 23 2025

After Örebro Tragedy: We Need to Adjust the Radar
Photo: Björn Larsson Rosvall/TT

Nearly three weeks after the worst school shooting in Swedish history, both the police and those affected are seeking answers. Why did Rickard Andersson go to school and shoot indiscriminately at other people? And could it have been stopped?

It is often said that school shooters have flown under the radar. But perhaps we need to adjust the radar to catch other signals, says Charlotta Thodelius, associate professor of criminology at the University of Borås.

Often, resources and attention are focused on the outgoing, but we may need to focus more on those who are quiet, she says.

She has researched deadly violence in school environments and describes five conditions that are often met by those who commit such unimaginable acts of violence.

Social marginalization

The first is that the person experiences extreme social marginalization and does not feel that they belong anywhere. The second is a psychosocial vulnerability that makes it difficult to handle exclusion.

The perpetrators rarely have a established psychiatric diagnosis, but in hindsight, it may emerge that they suffered from depression and suicidal thoughts, says Charlotta Thodelius.

The third concerns the methods one sees as the best way to solve problems. In research, this is called a cultural script.

Everyone has a cultural script that is built on many parts. For example, how one has seen parents and other adults resolve conflicts.

Inspiration can also be drawn from various ideologies, online forums, and popular culture such as films, games, and music. For the perpetrators, the cultural script is linked to violent solutions and has an element of martyrdom.

The Cartwright Brothers

The cultural script is often time-bound when it comes to popular cultural references. In the 1960s, it could be the cowboy series "The Cartwright Brothers" and in the 1990s, it was the film "Natural Born Killers" that emerged as a reference.

It doesn't mean that a violent game or a particular music leads to violence, but it can be used by those who already have such thoughts as a way to justify violence, says Charlotta Thodelius.

The fourth is that the individuals go under the radar and are not detected by family, school, or police, despite the planning often having taken place over a longer period. The fifth is access to weapons. All these pieces run parallel, and it's not things that happen overnight. One or two may not be alarming. That a teenager starts dressing differently or behaving in a new way is also common.

That's why it's so important that there's someone who can put the puzzle pieces together, says Lisa Kaati, lecturer at Stockholm University.

She herself researches the development of techniques for threat assessments and identifying threats in digital environments.

But not everything happens digitally. In the US, where they have come much further, they work, for example, with special threat assessment teams at schools to catch students with risk behaviors and provide the right kind of support, she says.

These so-called "behavior threat assessment and management teams" can consist of school staff, but also police and healthcare professionals. One purpose is to get a comprehensive picture. And also, so that classmates or others have somewhere to turn if they feel that someone is behaving threateningly. If someone in one's environment starts expressing aggressive thoughts, it's not a police report that's closest at hand.

Don't want to snitch

Many also find it extremely difficult to snitch and tell about what they perceive as threatening or strange to a teacher or parent. You think it's just a joke or that someone is just weird. Then, these teams can function as a more neutral alternative to share with.

In the Örebro case, the perpetrator is described by former classmates and teachers as very introverted and withdrawn from high school. There are stories about how he often covered his mouth when he spoke and hid his face in a hood. He had incomplete grades in both high school and high school and made several failed attempts at komvux.

We know that many of those who commit school violence feel misunderstood and failed. Striving to ensure that people don't end up in situations where they feel humiliated and offended is very important, says Lisa Kaati.

She points out that the demands placed on an individual by society can sometimes be difficult to live up to. A person who has great difficulty talking to others – is it reasonable to demand that they apply for a certain number of jobs?

Not everyone is cast in the same mold, and more flexible and individualized support is needed. The one who already feels marginalized and without connections becomes even more confirmed in their conviction by more failures, she says.

Charlotta Thodelius emphasizes that the conditions individually do not mean that someone will commit an act of violence, but that they can be parts of a decisive process.

It's about people who don't see any other way out than to commit an act of violence and maybe end their own life.

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By TTThis article has been altered and translated by Sweden Herald

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