Trump's Peace Threat: US Exit from Talks Seen as Impractical

The USA is trying to pressure both Ukraine and Russia into an agreement by threatening to abandon the peace negotiations. But in practice, it would be difficult for the USA to completely leave the process, says USA expert Jan Hallenberg.

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Trump's Peace Threat: US Exit from Talks Seen as Impractical
Photo: Aurelien Morissard, Pavel Bednyakov/AP/TT

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The President of the USA, Donald Trump, has previously promised to reach some form of peace solution very quickly in the full-scale invasion war that Russia launched against Ukraine three years ago.

The goal remains, but how the USA thinks a peace solution should look is unclear.

The most important thing for the USA is probably to get a quick solution, stop the shooting and reach an agreement with Ukraine on minerals. And also an agreement with Russia on economic ties. That's what I think Trump wants, says Jan Hallenberg, USA expert and professor emeritus in political science, associated with the Foreign Policy Institute (UI).

That the USA would completely withdraw from the negotiations seems unlikely to him.

Trump has promised for so long that he would solve this war and that it would go so incredibly fast. The statement is a threat to the parties, but the threat of leaving is very difficult to implement in practice, because it would have major consequences.

Important Intelligence

Since Trump took over the presidency at the beginning of the year, the USA has not provided Ukraine with support in the form of weapons. Instead, the country has continued to provide intelligence information.

Without it, Ukraine would be in a bad situation. The question is what a peace agreement would entail, would the USA completely stop that help? In that case, they would be helping the Russians, because then they could come up with things that Ukraine cannot detect, says Jan Hallenberg.

The day after the USA threatened to leave the talks, Russia's President Vladimir Putin announced a 30-hour ceasefire. But the fighting has still continued.

Difficult Conditions

On Wednesday, Ukraine's allies are expected to meet in London in a continuation of talks held in France last week. At the meeting in Paris, the USA is said to have submitted a proposal to Ukraine. The content is unknown, but there are reports that it includes, among other things, that Ukraine should not have the right to join NATO and that Ukraine should cede certain territories to Russia, points that will be difficult for both Ukraine and Europe to accept.

The Russians have said that they like the idea of Ukraine not being allowed to join NATO. And then there's the question of Crimea's status, whether the Ukrainians really agree to legally recognize that Crimea should be Russian. That would be a very big step, which many have warned against, and very serious.

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By TTEnglish edition by Sweden Herald, adapted for local and international readers

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