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Housing prices continue to fall – no giant leap expected

Housing prices are falling for the third month in a row. And those who hope for a significant price increase ahead risk being disappointed. You shouldn't count on any rapid rise in housing prices, says Robert Boije at SBAB.

» Published: December 03 2024

Housing prices continue to fall – no giant leap expected
Photo: Gustav Sjöholm/TT

Housing prices fell by 1.1 percent in November across the country, according to figures from the state-owned SBAB and the real estate website Booli.

Housing prices continue to fall, it's the third month in a row, says SBAB's chief economist Robert Boije.

Expected price drop

Apartment prices remained almost unchanged in November, up 0.1 percent. They increased the most in southern Sweden (+0.7 percent) while falling by over 2 percent in northern Sweden. House prices, on the other hand, fell on average by 1.6 percent.

That prices overall are continuing to fall right now was not particularly unexpected, according to Boije.

I think it's quite expected. If you look at how housing prices usually move during a year, it's more of a rule than an exception that prices fall back during the autumn months and all the way to December, he says.

After New Year, prices are expected to point slightly upwards instead.

Many wonder if prices will skyrocket due to the Swedish Central Bank lowering the interest rate and the variable mortgage rate going down. But we don't think so. What primarily drives housing prices is the slightly longer fixed mortgage rates, and they have already gone down. We don't expect them to fall further.

Not taking off

SBAB sees moderately rising housing prices in the coming years, primarily driven by households doing increasingly well.

Despite falling prices in recent months, housing prices have risen by 5 percent since the turn of the year. Apartment prices are up by over 8 percent, while house prices are up by over 3 percent.

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By TTThis article has been altered and translated by Sweden Herald
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