Expert on Israel's Attack: Not an Escalation

Israel's attack on Iran tonight is in line with expectations, believes Middle East expert Anders Persson. I don't see this as an escalating response from Israel's side, he says.

» Published: October 26 2024

Expert on Israel's Attack: Not an Escalation
Photo: Vahid Salemi/AP/TT

Since Iran fired around 200 rockets at Israel on October 1, the world has been waiting to see how Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his government would respond.

This has taken longer than many analysts thought, most did not think it would happen so close to the American presidential election, says Anders Persson, political scientist at Linnaeus University.

The delay could partly be due to Israel's recent success in killing Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, according to Persson.

This could have been a narrative that they wanted to draw out.

He emphasizes that there were five possible types of targets for Israel: military infrastructure, financial infrastructure, oil infrastructure, infrastructure related to the nuclear program, and the Iranian leadership.

"A marking"

Based on the information currently available, it appears that Israel has stuck to the military part, which according to Anders Persson is the most expected and least escalating.

This is a marking rather than an escalation, he says, adding that it's an initial assessment.

For the Biden administration, an expected attack of this kind is likely to have a calming effect, says Persson. If Israel had instead struck at oil production, it could have escalated conflicts with retaliatory attacks and a skyrocketing oil price as a result.

Then Donald Trump could have pointed to Joe Biden and Kamala Harris and said that they are weak and that he himself is an alternative.

Different perspectives

Although it's possible to view last night's Israeli attack as relatively restrained, there are certain aspects to keep in mind, notes Anders Persson. He mentions, for example, that there are reports that Israel has struck at air defense systems, including around the capital Tehran.

If it turns out that their air defense system has been knocked out and Tehran is unprotected, it could be a way for Israel to send a signal that they are prepared to strike deeper next time.

Another aspect is that Israel has stated that they are finished with the operation against Iran for now.

Iran has not expressed anything like that yet.

Tags

TTT
By TT - Translated and adapted by Sweden Herald under license from TT

More news

USA to Relocate 1,000 Troops
1 MIN READ

USA to Relocate 1,000 Troops from Syria in Coming Months

Genre image
1 MIN READ

Congo River Boat Fire Leaves 148 Dead, Over 100 Still Missing

Trump Proposes New Rules for
2 MIN READ

Trump Proposes New Rules for Federal Employees to Enforce His Policies

Kyoto Bus Driver Loses Pension
1 MIN READ

Kyoto Bus Driver Loses Pension After Ticket Theft Ruling

Asean Calls on Myanmar Junta
1 MIN READ

Asean Calls on Myanmar Junta to Honor Ceasefire After Earthquake

Judge Blocks Trump's Plan to
1 MIN READ

Judge Blocks Trump's Plan to Cut CFPB Workforce

Australian Fighter for Ukraine Faces
1 MIN READ

Australian Fighter for Ukraine Faces Mercenary Charges in Luhansk

Venice Doubles Tourist Day-Trip Fee
2 MIN READ

Venice Doubles Tourist Day-Trip Fee for Non-Overnight Visitors

Trials Begin for Nearly 200
2 MIN READ

Trials Begin for Nearly 200 Critics of Turkish Regime Protests

Iran Nuclear Talks in Rome
2 MIN READ

Iran Nuclear Talks in Rome Face Doubts and Threats

Vance Expresses Cautious Optimism on
2 MIN READ

Vance Expresses Cautious Optimism on Ukraine Peace Talks in Europe

Ukraine Receives Remains of Over
1 MIN READ

Ukraine Receives Remains of Over 900 Fallen Soldiers

Veterans and Reservists Rally to
2 MIN READ

Veterans and Reservists Rally to End Gaza Conflict

EU Expansion: Hungary's Block Delays
3 MIN READ

EU Expansion: Hungary's Block Delays Ukraine and Moldova Membership

New Russian Attacks on Ukraine
2 MIN READ

New Russian Attacks on Ukraine Leave 11 Dead, Over 100 Injured

China Refutes Claims of Supplying
1 MIN READ

China Refutes Claims of Supplying Weapons to Russia

Severe Weather in Italy Claims
2 MIN READ

Severe Weather in Italy Claims Three Lives, Triggers State of Emergency

Israel's Blockade Leaves Gaza Residents
3 MIN READ

Israel's Blockade Leaves Gaza Residents Facing Severe Hunger Crisis

Israeli Strikes on Gaza Leave
1 MIN READ

Israeli Strikes on Gaza Leave 15 Dead, Including Family in Khan Yunis

US Airstrikes in Yemen Kill
2 MIN READ

US Airstrikes in Yemen Kill 74, Injure 171, Houthi Movement Reports

Trump Plans UK Visit to
1 MIN READ

Trump Plans UK Visit to Meet King Charles This Autumn

Luigi Mangione Faces Federal Murder
1 MIN READ

Luigi Mangione Faces Federal Murder Charges in CEO's Death

Two Killed, Five Injured in
1 MIN READ

Two Killed, Five Injured in Florida State University Shooting

Red Cross Building in Gaza
1 MIN READ

Red Cross Building in Gaza Damaged by Explosion, ICRC Expresses Outrage

Ukraine Talks to Continue in
2 MIN READ

Ukraine Talks to Continue in London Next Week Following Paris Meeting

USA and Ukraine Set to
1 MIN READ

USA and Ukraine Set to Finalize Mineral Agreement Next Thursday

Myanmar Seeks Regional Aid After
1 MIN READ

Myanmar Seeks Regional Aid After Devastating Earthquake

Cable Car Accident in Italy
1 MIN READ

Cable Car Accident in Italy Claims Four Lives Near Naples

Trump Seeks to Narrow Species
1 MIN READ

Trump Seeks to Narrow Species Protection Law, Sparking Criticism

Zelensky Accuses China of Supplying
1 MIN READ

Zelensky Accuses China of Supplying Weapons to Russia

Aid Groups Warn of Imminent
1 MIN READ

Aid Groups Warn of Imminent Collapse in Gaza Due to Blockade

Russia Cautions Germany on Sending
1 MIN READ

Russia Cautions Germany on Sending Taurus Robots to Ukraine

Haiti's Security Crisis Worsens as
1 MIN READ

Haiti's Security Crisis Worsens as Violence Spreads, Warns HRW

Russia Removes Terrorist Label from
1 MIN READ

Russia Removes Terrorist Label from Taliban

Genre image
1 MIN READ

57 Civilians Killed in al-Fashir Clashes Between Army and Paramilitaries

Russian Military Officer Sentenced to
1 MIN READ

Russian Military Officer Sentenced to Prison for Corruption