Konjunkturinstitutet

Acting Swedish minister considers proposal for higher gasoline prices

Increased vehicle tax, a reduction obligation and petrol tax. These are some of the proposals that government investigators are handing over to acting Minister of Climate and Environment Johan Britz (L). But he immediately rejects them. "We should neither increase the reduction obligation nor diesel taxes to reduce emissions in the short term," says Britz.

KI: Swedish households more pessimistic in April

Swedish households became more pessimistic in April, according to the National Institute of Economic Research's (NIER) monthly business climate barometer.

KI: Economic effects of the Middle East war will subside by this autumn

The economic effects of the Middle East war will subside by this autumn. Swedish households can expect the current recession to ebb by the end of 2026. The assessment is made by the Swedish Institute of Economic Research (KI) in a new forecast.

Electricity subsidy: This is how much you get and when the money arrives

How much can I get in electricity subsidies, what are the requirements and, above all - when will the compensation arrive? Here are the most important questions and answers about the new electricity subsidies announced on Monday by the government and the Sweden Democrats (SD).

KI: Worse mood in manufacturing industry

Sentiment in the Swedish economy has eased to normal levels, according to the National Institute of Economic Research's (NIER) monthly barometer.

No traces of secretly raised food prices ahead of VAT reduction

Food prices have not increased more than usual ahead of the halving of the food VAT to 6 percent in April, according to the government's Food Price Commission. "They know we have eyes on them," says Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson (M), referring to grocery stores.

Göran Hjelm, possible dove, takes seat on Riksbank Executive Board

Göran Hjelm, head of the Fiscal Policy Council, has been appointed a new member of the Swedish Central Bank's Executive Board. The announcement comes as a surprise to economists, as he is not particularly well-known. "It was not what I had expected," said SEB's chief economist Jens Magnusson.

Break in trend in business climate barometer

Six months of growth for the National Institute of Economic Research's (NIER) barometer indicator ended in January. However, the mood is still stronger than normal, NIER writes in an update.

KI raises forecast – recession "ebbing away"

The mood in the Swedish economy is more positive than normal, according to the state-run National Institute of Economic Research (KI). Swedish growth is rising to 2.7 percent, according to KI.

He will be the new head of the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority.

The Government has appointed Johan Almenberg as the new Director General and Head of the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority.

The construction industry is boosting economic sentiment

This is how the government will stop surreptitiously raised food prices

The government has appointed a food price commission to monitor price developments – and ensure that prices are not surreptitiously raised before the food VAT reduction in April next year. Now the food giants and stores will have their eyes on them, says Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson (M).

Price increases in the housing market – “lightening”

There are "bright spots" in the housing market, according to a house price indicator from Danske Bank for October. At least that's true if you're planning to sell your home.

Better momentum in the Swedish economy

New Mortgage Rules May Increase Housing Prices, Experts Warn

The Government wants to raise the ceiling for how large loans home buyers can take and soften the requirement for amortizations. The Central Bank, National Debt Office and National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) are among those who warn of risks with the proposals.

Reduced Food VAT Risks Permanent State Finance Deficit

The Government gets a thumbs up, with some reservations, from LO, PRO and Swedish Trade Federation for the proposal of temporarily reduced VAT on food. But several others are sharply critical.

Swedish Economy Set for Recovery Next Year, Says KI Report

The low-conjuncture will not be over until 2027. But next year will nonetheless be significantly better. This is stated by the National Institute of Economic Research (KI) in a new conjuncture report. It will take until 2027 before we will find ourselves in a balanced conjuncture situation, says forecasting manager Ylva Hedén Westerdahl.

Swedish Economy Sees Slight Growth in August

The Swedish economy continued to rise slightly in August, but is still at a lower level than normal, according to the National Institute of Economic Research's (KI) monthly barometer.

Large Budget Initiatives Expected in Next Year's Swedish State Budget

The Government is expected to strike with historically large initiatives in the state budget for next year, according to a number of experts. Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson (The Moderate Party) has raised expectations by talking about "decent stimuli" ahead of Thursday's announcement.

Sweden's Upcoming Budget Focuses on Households Amid Economic Challenges

Households are in focus when the government presents its budget initiatives in September, predict several economists. They also expect the government to take drastic measures this time. This is, after all, the last budget before the election, says Jens Magnusson, chief economist at SEB.

Svantesson: Swedish Households' Caution Impacts Economy

Swedish households continue to hold tight to their wallets – and that dampens the economy. Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson (The Moderate Party) therefore does not rule out that the government may need to revise down its growth forecast once again. Households have paid a high price, she says.

Swedish Growth Forecast Lowered Due to Weak Household Consumption

National Institute of Economic Research (KI) lowers the forecast for Swedish growth. The main reason is the households' weak consumption. Households' consumption has been more or less stagnant since 2022, says KI's forecast manager Ylva Hedén Westerdahl.

Volvo Boosts Stockholm Stock Exchange Amid Market Weakness

The Stockholm stock exchange started positively on Wednesday, but the broad OMXS index declined during the afternoon and closed at minus 0.1 percent.

Sweden Sees Significant Drop in Company Bankruptcies

For the fourth month in a row, the number of bankruptcies among companies in Sweden is decreasing compared to the corresponding period last year. The economic recovery has begun, according to Amanda Aldestam, analyst at the credit information company UC.