With 99 percent of the votes counted, the social democratic Labour Party is the largest with 28.2 percent. The distribution of seats between the blocks is 89–80 in favor of the red-green block.
Much suggests that the current Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre will be able to continue to rule.
We did it, he says in front of a cheering audience at the party's election party.
Erna Solberg, the leader of the Conservative Party and the bourgeois prime minister candidate, admits to being defeated.
Tonight we will just wish them good luck, she says at the party's election party.
Right-wing populists on the rise
The next largest party will be the right-wing populist Progress Party with just under 23.8 percent. The party, which received 11.6 percent in the last election and just over 20 in opinion polls earlier in September, is achieving its best election result to date.
Great cheers erupted at the party's election party when NRK's prognosis was presented, cheers that subsided a bit when it turned out that the rest of the conservative block went weakly.
Tonight we will celebrate the best result for the party of all time, says party leader Sylvi Listhaug from the stage at the party's election party.
At the same time, she warns of a "historic left turn" in Norwegian politics.
We will do everything we can as the leading opposition party to get the Labour Party out of the government office in 2029.
Disaster for the Conservative Party
The Conservative Party, Norway's equivalent to The Moderate Party, is crashing and making its worst election since 2005.
Not least, it is my responsibility, and I am so incredibly sorry for it, says party leader Erna Solberg from the podium at the Conservative Party's election party.
The party receives 14.6 percent of the votes. This can be compared to the election result in 2021 of 20.3 percent.
The Christian Democratic Party barely clears the four percent threshold with 4.2 percent. Worse is the bourgeois Venstre, equivalent to The Liberals, which stands at 3.7 percent of the votes and appears to be falling out of the parliament.
Record number of advance votes
A record number, 1.9 million of the just over 4 million eligible voters, have advance voted.
The expected result according to NRK's prognosis gives the red-green block a lead of 89 seats to 80. Despite the expected election victory, this means that the red-green block loses several seats compared to today.
A majority in the parliament requires 85 seats.
Facts: The election in Norway
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Election results in the parliamentary election 2025 in percent. Difference compared to the 2021 election in parentheses.
Red-green
Labor Party 28.2 (+1.8)
Socialist Left Party 5.6 (–2.0)
Center Party 5.6 (–7.8)
Red Party 5.3 (+0.6)
Green Party 4.7 (+0.8)
Bourgeois
Progress Party 23.8 (+12.2)
Conservative Party 14.6 (–5.7)
Christian Democratic Party 4.2 (+0.4)
Venstre 3.7 (–1.0)
Source: NRK