SBAB expects policy rate to
Photo: Lars Schröder/TT

SBAB expects policy rate to remain unchanged in 2026

If the Strait of Hormuz opens in the near future, it is highly likely that the Swedish Central Bank will leave the policy rate unchanged in 2026, the state-owned SBAB says in the latest edition of Boräntenytt.

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At the same time, the situation for the Swedish economy is considered more favorable than for the rest of the world.

"We come from a significantly more favorable underlying inflation situation in Sweden compared with the US in particular, and also the Eurozone. This provides a good basis to stand on if the conflict in the Middle East drags on and fuel prices remain high," says Robert Boije, chief economist at SBAB, in a press release.

SBAB predicts that slightly longer-term fixed interest rates are expected to rise during the same period.

"I think it will take a lot for the Swedish Central Bank to choose to raise the policy rate at the next policy meeting in June," says Robert Boije.

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AuthorTT News AgencyEnglish edition by Sweden Herald, adapted for our readers
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