According to an election forecast on SVT, which is based on votes actually counted, it is basically a dead heat between the blocs when nearly 70 percent of the votes have been counted.
The forecast shows the opposition on 49.4 percent compared with the government's 49.0 percent. In terms of seats, the difference is one seat in favour of the red-greens, 175 to 174.
According to SVT's forecast, only 20,000 votes separate the blocs.
Every single vote must be counted. We do not take anything in advance in any direction, says Ebba Busch.
Over the barrier
The Liberals are rejoicing as the party gets 5.4 percent in the forecast. This after having long been around 2 percent in opinion polls and risking being left out of parliament.
It is a historic recovery, says L leader Simona Mohamsson.
The Social Democrats received 27.9 percent and look set to face their worst parliamentary election result in modern times, if the numbers hold up.
The S leader states in her speech at the election vigil that it is very even between the blocs.
And that means that regardless of what the election results ultimately are, there is reason to seek a new spirit of cooperation in Swedish politics, says Magdalena Andersson.
But right now we are leading. And if this holds up, Sweden will have a new government.
V, C and MP are all better off in the forecast than in the 2022 election. They receive 8.3 percent, 7.1 percent and 6.1 percent respectively.
We have done everything we can to say goodbye to Tidö, says V leader Nooshi Dadgostar, and adds:
But the situation is still uncertain for the opposition. We still don't know which side will govern Sweden for the next four years.
Hope is alive
The Tidö parties are hopeful of continuing in government for another four years.
In the forecast, M is at 19.9 percent, which is slightly higher than in the 2022 election. This would also mean that they would become the second-largest party in the Riksdag.
"This election result could lead to a complicated government formation. Where it ends remains to be seen. It may take time, but we are in no hurry," says M leader Ulf Kristersson.
The SD is falling behind for the first time in a parliamentary election, landing at 17.5 percent. Party leader Jimmie Åkesson still says they are "the winner of the election campaign."
There are so many more people now in our country who don't find it difficult to say that they are a Sweden Democrat. On the contrary, they are proud, he says in his speech.
KD looks set to do better than in 2022 with 6.2 percent of the vote.
