It would be a major defeat for the parties if they cannot manage the election result better, he says.
The parties do not want a by-election; they are not prepared for it. And a very difficult election campaign would await the party that is responsible for there being a by-election, he emphasizes. The politicians therefore have a knife to their throats to find a solution.
Tidö hopes for C
Even if the red-greens should turn out to have a majority, Ulf Kristersson (M) has not given up hope of continuing as prime minister. On election night, he emphasized that Sweden has a non-socialist majority and he now wants to put pressure on C, notes Tommy Möller.
They don't seem to have given up hope of getting them involved in some type of cooperation, but it seems highly unlikely.
He sees no prospects whatsoever for cooperation between the two largest parties in parliament, M and S.
Difficult knot
The red line between V and C will be a difficult knot for S leader Magdalena Andersson to untie if she is to form a government. C does not accept a government that includes V - and V demands to be given ministerial posts if it is to support Magdalena Andersson as prime minister.
One way to loosen this deadlock is for some parties on the right to be prepared to cooperate with Magdalena Andersson in some way, says Tommy Möller.
It wouldn't have to be government cooperation, he emphasizes. One possibility is that parties cast their votes in the prime minister's election - in which case they would be paid well.
It is not impossible to justify based on a responsibility argument, in a completely locked-in situation, says Tommy Möller.
But if the preliminary election results hold up, Magdalena Andersson would need to bring both KD and L together in some form of agreement, if she cannot count on V, he notes.
Exciting in Tidö
The election is extremely close and Tommy Möller emphasizes that the outcome is uncertain until all the votes are counted.
Even if there were to be a Tidö majority, there are interesting questions to follow about the composition and direction of the government, he notes. The SD has been left in a worse negotiating position after its election defeat.
The only thing we can say for sure is that there will not be twelve SD ministers, says Tommy Möller.
