It is leaning towards strong Swedish support for Ursula von der Leyen as continued Commission President in the EU.
But nothing is certain yet – and SD and V are clearly against.
The Swedish government parties' representatives in the EU Parliament – four from The Moderate Party and one each from The Christian Democrats and The Liberals – are already saying a clear yes to von der Leyen ahead of Thursday's decisive vote.
We need stability in Europe. We have war on our continent. We have an uncertain election outcome in the USA. In this situation, we need strong leadership and that's what we get with Ursula von der Leyen. Anything else is voting for chaos, says Tomas Tobé (M) on site in Strasbourg.
Yes from the Green Party
The Green Party (with three members) will also vote yes, the party announced in a post on DN Debatt on Wednesday evening.
The party has, among other things, pushed von der Leyen to follow up on her climate actions – the "green deal" – by also protecting fisheries and marine environment.
We've had a "green deal". Now we want to see a "blue deal". We call it a blue pact for the sea, says Isabella Lövin (MP), who is making a comeback in the EU Parliament after years as minister and spokesperson.
If the Green Party's yes is also followed by yes from other green members in the parliament, it speaks strongly in favor of von der Leyen's future being secured.
Yes votes are likely to come from the Social Democrats (with five members) and the Centre Party (two) as well. However, it depends on what von der Leyen can accept in terms of the other demands that have been made, including higher climate ambitions and a clear distance from the far-right.
No from the Left
On the no side, the two members from V and the three from SD are already convinced.
It will be expensive for taxpayers. It will cost jobs. She doesn't want to promise a stricter migration policy in the way that Europe needs. Then it can't be anything but no, says Charlie Weimers (SD).
We can't just ignore the fact that we think she's completely unsuitable, says Jonas Sjöstedt (V).
The EU Parliament will vote at 13:00 on Thursday to approve Ursula von der Leyen as continued President of the EU Commission until 2029. She needs to get at least 361 yes votes – otherwise, the EU countries' heads of state and government must propose another candidate within a month.
The vote is preceded by a debate in Strasbourg from 09:00, where von der Leyen is expected to present guidelines for what she wants to do during her mandate period.
The result itself is expected to be clear just before 15:00.