S probably doesn't really want V and is really trying to force it to give up its demand to be in government. S faces the threat that C could shift to the right, says Jonas Hinnfors, a professor of political science at the University of Gothenburg.
He sees risks for all parties if they fail. For C, there is a risk of disappointing some voters if it joins a right-wing government that has an indirect cooperation agreement with SD.
The part of C's electorate that voted for the party because they don't want SD could be disappointed. That could be dangerous for C.
There could also be internal criticism of Magdalena Andersson if she fails to form a government. But if she succeeds, the criticism will probably be mitigated, Jonas Hinnfors believes.
"Terribly clear"
After Andersson's announcement on Sunday, the Left Party's Ida Gabrielsson emphasized that V stands by its demand to be in government.
V has been terribly clear and has referred to its party congress time and time again. It could just as easily have given in and said it would take responsibility for the country to avoid a right-wing government.
It could also be that it is playing it loud and then backs down at the last second. But it is uncertain what the Left Party's various groups will think. They may think that they have paved the way for a right-wing government with indirect SD support if the Red-Greens fail.
C leader Thand Ringqvist has announced that the party will wait to respond to S's proposal until S and M have presented their respective "total packages" on how Sweden should be governed.
Now the question is also how Thand Ringqvist will interpret the different signals, says Hinnfors.
“Starting to move”
Andersson's announcement that she is aiming for a government with MP and C comes after a week in which SD leader Jimmie Åkesson announced that his party was dropping its demand for ministerial posts, while C leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist said she wanted to negotiate with M and S at the same time.
It was expected that a lot would happen before the third prime ministerial vote; you don't have much to gain by playing your cards too early. But we'll see if it's enough.
Things are really starting to move now.
What do you think?