Europe can hold Kyiv under its arms for at most a few months, says Mark Cancian, senior advisor at the think tank Center for Strategic and International Studies, CSIS. After that, a pause from the USA would be severely felt – and when the supplies run out, it will be devastating for Ukraine.
The effect will be significant. I would call it paralyzing, he says to CNN.
If their supplies are halved, it will eventually be seen on the front line. Their front lines will be worn out and eventually they will break, and Ukraine will be forced to accept a negative – or even catastrophic – peace agreement.
In Russia, they are likely celebrating right now, notes political science professor Matthew Schmidt at the University of New Haven.
I think the Kremlin gets almost everything they want, he says to CNN.
Stopping the military support not only harms Ukraine – it also harms the USA, says Mykola Murskyj at the US-based organization Razom for Ukraine.
This is a sad day for American interests because it rewards our enemies, he says to The Wall Street Journal.
I can really hear the champagne corks popping in Moscow, Beijing, and Tehran.