Tactics and defections ahead of France's second round

Updated:

Published:

Tactics and defections ahead of France's second round
Photo: Thibault Camus/AP/TT

Success for both the far-right and far-left in the first round of the French election indicates that the second round may be a nail-biter. Now, a week of tactics and regrouping awaits to once again lure the French to the polls.

Success for both the far-right and the far-left in the first round of the French election indicates that the second round may be a nail-biter.

Now, a week of tactics and rallying is ahead to lure the French back to the polling stations.

"Historic election, historic voter turnout", writes TV channel BFMTV on its website, referring to the unusually high voter turnout in the first round of the French parliamentary election.

BFMTV and several other media outlets estimate the voter turnout to be around 66 percent. The last time France saw a similar voter turnout in a parliamentary election was over 20 years ago.

This is a sign of how seriously the French voters view the situation, says Göran von Sydow, head of the Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies (Sieps).

Three candidates

The first round was a major success for the far-right party National Rally (RN), which became the largest party. But the election is not over, and the result is not clear. The parties have until Tuesday evening to announce which candidates they will put forward in the single-member constituencies in the second round, which will be held on Sunday, July 7.

Now, a lot depends on how the parties think strategically and tactically in terms of alliances in different constituencies. This election has really reinforced the trend in French politics: that there are three blocks facing each other.

The high voter turnout had the effect that three candidates went through in several constituencies – one from each alliance.

Gambit did not pay off

There have been signals from the left-wing alliance and (President Emmanuel) Macron's centrist movement about how to cooperate to maximize the chances of beating back against RN. If both put forward candidates, the likelihood is that RN would get a majority. But if they instead withdraw their candidates, they can mobilize a "republican front", says Göran von Sydow.

Such a "republican front" means that the parties come together to stop the successes of RN. But if the left-wing alliance NFP, which includes both the old social democratic ruling party PS and the now larger and more radical left LFI, manages to agree with Macron's block to withdraw their candidate in order to win over voters to the other, they could block RN.

Regardless of the election outcome, Macron's role is significantly weakened, according to von Sydow.

After seven years of dominance on the French political scene, it is clear that his gamble to call new elections has not paid off.

Tags

Author

TTT
By TTEnglish edition by Sweden Herald, adapted for local and international readers

More news

Baltic Sea Faces Environmental Threat from WWII Ammunition

Baltic Sea Faces Environmental Threat from WWII Ammunition

Imprisoned Ex-Leader Calls for Protests as Georgia Votes

Imprisoned Ex-Leader Calls for Protests as Georgia Votes

Czech Election Could Halt Military Support to Ukraine

Czech Election Could Halt Military Support to Ukraine

White House Unveils 20-Point Plan for Gaza Peace

White House Unveils 20-Point Plan for Gaza Peace

Sanae Takaichi Set to Become Japan's First Female Prime Minister

Sanae Takaichi Set to Become Japan's First Female Prime Minister

Russian Drones Hit Ukrainian Train Station in Double Attack

Russian Drones Hit Ukrainian Train Station in Double Attack

Israel Deports 137 Activists from Global Sumud Flotilla

Israel Deports 137 Activists from Global Sumud Flotilla

Drone Alert Causes Flight Delays at Munich Airport

Drone Alert Causes Flight Delays at Munich Airport

David Zini Appointed as Israel's New Shin Bet Chief Amid Controversy

David Zini Appointed as Israel's New Shin Bet Chief Amid Controversy

Bear Attack in Northern Japan Leaves One Dead, One Missing

Bear Attack in Northern Japan Leaves One Dead, One Missing

Storm Amy Leaves 100,000 in Norway Without Power

Storm Amy Leaves 100,000 in Norway Without Power

Trump Urges Immediate Halt to Israel's Gaza Bombings

Trump Urges Immediate Halt to Israel's Gaza Bombings

Netanyahu Approved Drone Attack on Gaza Convoy with Greta Thunberg

Netanyahu Approved Drone Attack on Gaza Convoy with Greta Thunberg

Hamas Open to Peace Talks and Hostage Negotiations in Gaza Conflict

Hamas Open to Peace Talks and Hostage Negotiations in Gaza Conflict

Munich Airport Halts Traffic Again Due to Drone Alarm

Munich Airport Halts Traffic Again Due to Drone Alarm

US House Speaker Mike Johnson Cancels Activities Amid Shutdown

US House Speaker Mike Johnson Cancels Activities Amid Shutdown

Storm Amy Hits Ireland: 230,000 Lose Power Amid Severe Weather

Storm Amy Hits Ireland: 230,000 Lose Power Amid Severe Weather

French Photojournalist Antoni Lallican Killed by Drone in Ukraine

French Photojournalist Antoni Lallican Killed by Drone in Ukraine

Russia Not Exempt from International Law Despite Finland Court Ruling

Russia Not Exempt from International Law Despite Finland Court Ruling

US Launches New Strike on Suspected Drug Smuggling Boat Near Venezuela

US Launches New Strike on Suspected Drug Smuggling Boat Near Venezuela