The red-greens together get 91 seats against the bourgeois 78, according to an opinion poll conducted by Norfakta for the newspapers Klassekampen and Nationen. Socialdemokraterna, Arbeiderpartiet, with Gahr Støre is largest with 27 percent of the votes, followed by the populist Fremskrittspartiet (FRP) at 20.8 percent.
Høyre, with former Prime Minister Erna Solberg as party leader, drops nearly a percentage point from last month's measurement and is down to 13.5 percent. These are the worst figures for the party since 2009.
The right-wing party Kristelig Folkeparti is going in the other direction, up 2 percentage points from the previous measurement to 5.8 percent. At the same time, Venstre, which is also part of the right-wing bloc, is balancing at the four percent limit.
Among the red-greens, Rødt (5.6) and SV (5.3) are close to the limit, while the Green party MDG is going up to 6.0. Much is decided by how it goes for these smaller support parties.
The margin of error in the measurement is 1.2–2.7 percentage points.
At the same time, many Norwegians have already cast their vote. According to the latest update from the electoral authority Valgdirektoratet, over 1.9 million people have advance voted.
The election will be decided on Monday, September 8.
Facts: Half have already voted
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Over 1.9 million Norwegians have advance voted, which according to NTB corresponds to 47.1 percent of all eligible voters.
Advance voting was open from August 8 to September 5.
Before that, you could also register with the municipality to vote earlier, between July 1 and August 8, if you did not have the opportunity to vote during advance voting or on election day. Just over 9,000 Norwegians cast their vote during that period.
The parliamentary election will be decided on September 8. In several municipalities, the polling stations will open as early as September 7.