The red-greens together get 91 seats against the bourgeois 78, according to an opinion poll conducted by Norfakta for the newspapers Klassekampen and Nationen. The Social Democrats, Labour Party, with Gahr Støre is the largest with 27 percent of the votes, followed by the populist Progress Party (FRP) at 20.8 percent.
The Right, with former Prime Minister Erna Solberg as party leader, falls nearly a percentage point from last month's measurement and is down to 13.5 percent. These are the worst figures for the party since 2009.
The right-wing party Christian People's Party is going in the other direction, up 2 percentage points from the previous measurement to 5.8 percent. At the same time, the Liberals, which also belong to the right-wing bloc, are balancing at the four percent limit.
Among the red-greens, the Reds (5.6) and the Socialist Left Party (5.3) are close to the limit, while the Green Party MDG is increasing to 6.0. Much depends on how it goes for these smaller support parties.
The margin of error in the measurement is 1.2–2.7 percentage points.
At the same time, many Norwegians have already cast their vote. According to the latest update from the electoral authority Valgdirektoratet, over 1.9 million people have advance voted.
The election will be decided on Monday, September 8.