In total, there are 314 counting districts, including late early votes and votes cast abroad. Around lunchtime on Wednesday, eight of the districts had been reported.
The election authority estimates that there are close to 300,000 votes. And because the election is so close, no side has wanted to declare itself the winner until all the votes have been counted.
Ready on Thursday
According to the Swedish Election Authority, the results are not expected to be known until Thursday. However, mathematician and economist Gustav Karreskog Rehbinder believes that a winner can be determined on Wednesday.
We probably don't have to wait for all the Wednesday votes, but we will still be able to say it today, even if there are some districts missing, he says.
He is behind the forecasting company Vera Policy, which publishes its forecasts at valprognos.se, and which SVT used during election night.
But it depends on whether the large counting districts are counted during the day or not.
If they remain, we'll just have to wait until tomorrow, says Karreskog Rehbinder.
“Stands and weighs”
According to Vera Policy, it looks like the Social Democrats will lose one seat in the final vote count, although Gustav Karreskog Rehbinder emphasizes that the forecast is uncertain.
The 176th seat is up for grabs. Right now it's with the Social Democrats. But they usually do poorly in the Wednesday votes and the Left Party usually does well.
According to Vera Policy's forecast, the mandate will therefore likely go to the Left Party.
But the Moderates are also up and sniffing at this mandate. It could very well end up with them too, says Karreskog Rehbinder.





