You can have a feeling but you can't be completely sure.
The 31-year-old, who made a comeback in January after a cruciate ligament injury, had a good first run, scoring 77.21 points, but he felt more was needed to reach the podium.
Tjäder, Olympic bronze medalist in Beijing 2022, made two more attempts - both of which ended in early falls.
Despite the outcome, he was happy with the final and is now looking forward to the Big Air qualifiers on Sunday.
There's been a lot of talk about this "Abba" trick, but you'll see the real thing at Big Air.
Norway's Birk Ruud won the gold ahead of Alex Hall of the United States and Luca Harrington of New Zealand.
What do you think?