The first increase of 0.25 percentage points is expected at the next interest rate announcement on Thursday, June 11. After that, the majority of those surveyed expect another interest rate increase of the same amount before the end of the year.
The two increases would mean that the most important ECB interest rate, the deposit rate, would rise to 2.50 percent. This can be compared with the Swedish Central Bank's policy rate of 1.75 percent.
When the effects of the Middle East conflict are assumed to subside in mid-2027, experts expect a reduction of 0.25 percentage point.
Bloomberg's survey was conducted May 29–June 3.
