The shortcomings mainly concern the government's overall basis, which comes from the Environmental Protection Agency. According to the National Audit Office, there is a risk that the effects of the climate policy decisions are overestimated.
Even the future development of emissions and uptake of greenhouse gases "appears safer than it actually is".
One of the shortcomings highlighted is that the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Agency make different assumptions about the conditions for the industry's climate transformation.
The Environmental Protection Agency rejects the criticism. According to Stefan Nyström, head of the climate department, it is about technicalities and that the difference between the authorities is small.
I think maybe the headlines have become a bit big from the National Audit Office, he says.
The Agency: "Very safe"
Climate and Environment Minister Romina Pourmokhtari (The Liberals) welcomes the report, despite not having read it yet.
It confirms what we see ourselves and what I personally have highlighted in the media, because I think it's a problem worth noting, she says in connection with an EU meeting in Luxembourg.
The Environmental Protection Agency has also failed to report what uncertainties exist in their assumptions in the basis – at the same time as very few other future alternatives are presented. According to the National Audit Office, this gives a picture of the development as "safer than the case".
Difficult to determine
The agency has already made improvements to clarity, says Stefan Nyström. He notes, however, that it is difficult to determine what society will look like in 20 years.
Then I want to be clear that we are very safe with the basis we present to the government.
The National Audit Office believes, however, that the uncertainty in the basis is passed on to the government's climate action plans and climate reports. This leads to a risk that the government underestimates the need for further emission reductions to achieve the goal of net zero emissions by 2045.
I often notice that the margins that exist in the assessments are very large, says Pourmokhtari.
