"The conclusion in this year's climate reporting is that current policy instruments are not sufficient and that additional measures are required to achieve the climate goals," said Stefan Nyström, head of the Climate and Air Department, in a press release.
"There is little time left until 2030 and policy instruments need to be put in place as soon as possible, especially in the transport sector," he said.
Climate emissions in Sweden amounted to around 46.7 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents in 2025, according to new statistics from the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency. This represents a reduction of 1.3 million tonnes compared to 2024.
The largest emissions reduction occurred in domestic transport and in work machinery, mainly due to the reinstated reduction obligation.
But the three percent decline in 2025 does not compensate for the seven percent increase in emissions in 2024.
In addition to the Swedish national climate targets, Sweden is also assessed as not meeting its EU commitments under the Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR), the EU framework for distributing and steering emission reductions.
The agency says previous cuts to the reduction obligation and to fuel taxes have led to a lower admixture of biofuel and to increased traffic. A slower rate of electrification of road traffic and work machinery is also cited as a factor, according to the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency.
The agency expects a total shortfall of 13.1 million tonnes towards the ESR commitment in 2030 - the EU's binding climate requirement - which means that the gap to the target is widening.
