Paasikivi notes that there is not enough information to draw any conclusions.
Whether it's about 100 meters, 500 meters, or five kilometers – no idea, says Paasikivi, who is now a senior geopolitical advisor at the law firm Mannheimer Swartling after a long military career.
It's about keeping the enemy off balance.
He does not believe an offensive can be attributed to Ukraine gaining access to new weapons; and he does not make any direct connections to Donald Trump being sworn in as president in the USA or to Ukraine's supporting countries meeting in the so-called Ramstein Group during the coming week.
That it coincides with the Ramstein meeting and the presidential inauguration is of course good, but war has its own dynamics. If you don't attack, it's likely that the enemy will attack.
The information from the fronts in the Russian invasion war in Ukraine and in Russian Kursk is also limited. Ukraine has tightened control over information from its own ranks.
There isn't as much (information) coming from the Ukrainian side. They've become better at information security. Since what's published from the Ukrainian side isn't untrue, but it's only a small part of what's happening, says Lieutenant Colonel Joakim Paasikivi.
