Markets Price in French Political
Photo: Michel Euler /AP/TT

Markets Price in French Political Turmoil as Bond Yields Rise

The market is factoring in political turmoil in France. In the CDS market, where traders can insure against default, the price of France's five-year CDS contracts has risen at the fastest pace since the euro crisis in September.

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The trend is also clear in the bond market, where ten-year French yields have risen from 3.56 to 4.73 percent since the turn of the year. The gap between French and German ten-year yields has thus increased from 0.71 percentage points at the turn of the year to today's 1.11 percentage points.

The development has gained momentum after a series of opinion polls showing that far-right candidate Marine Le Pen would win both the first and second rounds of a French presidential election.

The first round of the next presidential election in France will be held on April 18, 2027. If no one gets a majority there, there will be a second round on May 2.

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AuthorTT News AgencyEnglish edition by Sweden Herald, adapted for our readers
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