Iran war: 60-day peace deadline passes with no deal in sight

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Iran war: 60-day peace deadline passes with no deal in sight
Photo: Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP/TT

According to the US and Iran's June 17 declaration of intent, they would try to resolve the core issues of the war within 60 days. Fighting would cease, oil would flow, Iranian uranium would be handled, and sanctions would be eased.

On Monday, the 60 days had passed, and no agreement appears to have been extended. There is little indication that solutions and peace have come any closer during the summer - quite the opposite.

Uranium

A war goal that the United States has stood by since the outbreak of the war is that Iran must never have nuclear weapons.

According to the declaration of intent, the US and Iran would jointly develop a plan for how Iran's highly enriched uranium should be handled - in parallel with US sanctions relief.

There was early disagreement over whether IAEA inspectors were welcome for new visits, or who would carry out the work on the uranium. According to Iran, no further negotiations have taken place at all. The US has repeatedly threatened to attack Iran's nuclear facilities again.

The oil

The United States is fighting to lower oil prices, JD Vance said on Friday. The US vice president then placed the issue of nuclear energy second on the priority list.

Oil prices have risen as a result of Iran's counter-move in the war. After the initial attacks by the US and Israel, Iran directed military threats and attacks against traffic in the Strait of Hormuz - thereby taking a fifth of the world's oil exports hostage.

According to the declaration of intent, Iran would have an administrative role in the opening of the strait. It has seized on this, claiming full control and shelling ships deemed to be violating the rules. The US has responded with new attacks.

Iran is demanding that the US begin making concessions to open the strait, even temporarily, but agreeing to those demands in practice means that control of the Strait of Hormuz and a large part of the world economy is placed in Iranian hands.

The ceasefire

The declaration of intent would be followed by a ceasefire and talks.

Instead, fighting first broke out in Lebanon, where US ally Israel escalated its conflict with Iranian ally Hezbollah. It became clear early on that the parties did not agree on whether Lebanon was included.

Iran's ship attacks were followed by new US bombings, which were followed by Iranian attacks on a number of countries in the region. The Iran-allied Houthi movement in Yemen has also attacked oil tankers in the Red Sea.

In practice, almost none of the 14 points of the declaration of intent have been fulfilled. In a war of words behind the open curtain, the US and Iran have disagreed about what kind of talks are being held, if any.

The US and Iran agreed in early June to a ceasefire and a 60-day deadline to negotiate a peace solution. The declaration of intent consisted of 14 points.

In a first stage, both countries and their allies would cease all hostilities. The wording of this also included Lebanon, which there was some disagreement about initially.

The US would lift its naval blockade of Iran and ensure that Iranian crude oil exports could resume. Frozen Iranian assets would begin to be made available.

Iran would allow commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz for 60 days. The country reiterated a promise never to acquire nuclear weapons. Continued negotiations on Iran's nuclear material were linked to sanctions relief.

The statement of intent also looked toward a possible peace agreement. In such an agreement, it was said that the United States would lift all sanctions and move military forces away from Iran's vicinity. In addition, the United States and partners in the region would develop a plan for Iran to receive the equivalent of just over SEK 2,800 billion for "reconstruction and economic development" in the event of an agreement.

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By TT News AgencyEnglish edition by Sweden Herald, adapted for our readers

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