President Trump is not expected to receive the Nobel Peace Prize this year, according to experts. This is despite the fact that he has been nominated again and has plenty of supporters, not least among himself, and has also launched a "peace council" intended to work on, among other things, the reconstruction of war-torn Gaza.
But Trump has also acted on other fronts.
In a year when he has both carried out a military intervention in Venezuela, started a war in Iran, steadily pressured Greenland and started a trade war, among other things, it is very difficult to see Donald Trump receiving the Nobel Peace Prize, says Haakon Gjerløw, director of the Norwegian peace research institute Prio, to TT.
Children or courts?
Instead, he lists a number of other possible candidates. Among them are the Sudanese aid organization ERR (Emergency Response Rooms), previously considered a favorite; Save the Children; and Ukrainian children's rights activist Mykola Kuleba.
Another option would be to recognize international judicial cooperation by awarding the prize to the ICC or ICJ. The question is whether it would be too politically sensitive to give the award to an organization that the US and Donald Trump have criticized so heavily and even imposed sanctions on.
Gjerløw notes that the Nobel Committee needs to consider the risk that the prize could harm rather than benefit a laureate.
That's something they have to at least consider: whether it might make it more difficult in the future for someone to receive the prize.
Cooperation in space?
On the other hand, the Nobel Committee sometimes needs to make courageous decisions.
Geir Lundestad, who was the committee's secretary for many years, used to say that the Nobel Peace Prize should be controversial every now and then - but not every year. Because then you lose the prestige, says Haakon Gjerløw.
The Prio director himself has a "little joker" on the list, if the Nobel Committee wants to support collaboration without standing out too much.
The International Space Station (ISS). It would be a prize that could both celebrate what collaboration can bring and give politicians a little kick in the butt to regulate and secure more collaboration in the future in space, says Gjerløw.
Facts: Peace Prize laureates since 2016
Here are the ten most recent recipients of the Nobel Peace Prize:
2016: Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos.
2017: International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons, Ican.
2018: Doctor Denis Mukwege from Congo-Kinshasa and Yazidi Nadia Murad from Iraq.
2019: Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed.
2020: UN World Food Programme (WFP).
2021: Journalists Maria Ressa and Dmitrij Muratov, working in the Philippines and Russia, respectively.
2022: Imprisoned democracy activist Ales Byalyatski from Belarus, the Russian human rights organization Memorial and the Ukrainian Center for Civil Liberties.
2023: Imprisoned women's rights activist Narges Mohammadi from Iran.
2024: Japanese atomic bomb survivor organization Nihon Hidankyo.
2025: Venezuelan opposition politician María Corina Machado.
Source: The Norwegian Nobel Institute
