Food Prices Stabilize, Paving Way for Potential Interest Rate Cut

Food prices including alcohol-free drinks rose by a mere 0.2 percent in May, compared to April. On an annual basis, food inflation has been somewhat dampened, as shown by inflation figures from Statistics Sweden (SCB). Today's figures confirm the view that the Swedish Central Bank can lower the interest rate next week.

» Published: June 13 2025

Food Prices Stabilize, Paving Way for Potential Interest Rate Cut
Photo: Chris Anderson/TT

Share this article

Food prices have increased by 5.2 percent over the past year, with coffee, chocolate, and dairy products accounting for most of the increase.

It's products like these that can shoot up in price if something has happened to a crop. It would have been a bigger problem for the Swedish Central Bank if there had been price increases in many areas, says Alexandra Stråberg, chief economist at Länsförsäkringar.

Lower demand

Prices for many vegetables have fallen sharply compared to the same time last year. According to Annika Winsth, chief economist at Nordea, food prices were in line with expectations. However, prices for services show up lower than expected.

Perhaps it's due to a slightly lower demand for services.

Today's figures confirm the preliminary statistics from last week. Overall, the inflation rate in May, according to the KPIF measure, which is adjusted for interest rate changes, was 2.3 percent according to the final figures.

Speaks in favor of a reduction

Swedbank's chief economist Mattias Persson says that the outcome for inflation is a step towards the Swedish Central Bank reducing the interest rate next week.

The Swedish Central Bank needs to change its focus when it comes to inflation and support the Swedish economy, which has been weak for a long time.

The pure inflation, KPI, fell to 0.2 percent in May, down from the annual price change rate of 0.3 percent in April. Electricity prices were 10.3 percent higher in May than in the same month last year. Fuel prices were 15.6 percent lower than in May last year.

The big picture has not changed with today's figures, but we see a lower inflation pressure, which makes it possible for the Swedish Central Bank to lower the interest rate next week, which is what we have in our forecast, says Alexandra Stråberg.

Tags

Author

TTT
By TTEnglish edition by Sweden Herald, adapted for local and international readers

More news

US Job Market Slows with Only 22,000 New Jobs in August
2 MIN READ

US Job Market Slows with Only 22,000 New Jobs in August

Tesla Board Proposes New Bonus Plan for Elon Musk
1 MIN READ

Tesla Board Proposes New Bonus Plan for Elon Musk

13 Suspected of Insider Trading After Dawn Raid
1 MIN READ

13 Suspected of Insider Trading After Dawn Raid

18 Charged in Major Insider Trading Case in Sweden and Norway
1 MIN READ

18 Charged in Major Insider Trading Case in Sweden and Norway

Skandiabanken Offers Lowest Mortgage Rates in August
1 MIN READ

Skandiabanken Offers Lowest Mortgage Rates in August

Stockholm Stock Exchange Rises Amid Weak US Employment Data
1 MIN READ

Stockholm Stock Exchange Rises Amid Weak US Employment Data

Danish Energy Giant Ørsted Lowers Profit Expectations for This Year
1 MIN READ

Danish Energy Giant Ørsted Lowers Profit Expectations for This Year

Foreign Ownership Boosts Swedish Economy with Productivity Growth
1 MIN READ

Foreign Ownership Boosts Swedish Economy with Productivity Growth

Calm Housing Market Spurs Speculator Interest
2 MIN READ

Calm Housing Market Spurs Speculator Interest

Asian Stock Markets Rise Amid US-Japan Tariff Agreement
1 MIN READ

Asian Stock Markets Rise Amid US-Japan Tariff Agreement

USA and Japan Reach New Trade Agreement on 15% Tariffs
1 MIN READ

USA and Japan Reach New Trade Agreement on 15% Tariffs

Activity Toys Pose Serious Injury Risks for Children in EU Survey
1 MIN READ

Activity Toys Pose Serious Injury Risks for Children in EU Survey

Hexagon Sells Software Business for 30 Billion Kronor
1 MIN READ

Hexagon Sells Software Business for 30 Billion Kronor

US Stock Market Sees Broad Gains Amid Labor Market Weakness
1 MIN READ

US Stock Market Sees Broad Gains Amid Labor Market Weakness

Ørsted Sues Trump Administration Over Halted US Wind Project
1 MIN READ

Ørsted Sues Trump Administration Over Halted US Wind Project

US Private Sector Adds 54,000 Jobs in August, Below Expectations
1 MIN READ

US Private Sector Adds 54,000 Jobs in August, Below Expectations

Goldman Sachs: Fed Uncertainty Could Propel Gold Prices
1 MIN READ

Goldman Sachs: Fed Uncertainty Could Propel Gold Prices

Food Chains in Sweden Promise Price Cuts with VAT Reduction
3 MIN READ

Food Chains in Sweden Promise Price Cuts with VAT Reduction

Experts Criticize Halving Food VAT as Ineffective and Costly
2 MIN READ

Experts Criticize Halving Food VAT as Ineffective and Costly

Sweden to Temporarily Halve Food VAT from April 2026
3 MIN READ

Sweden to Temporarily Halve Food VAT from April 2026